📊 Southwest Florida Market Recovery – My prediction
Which markets are positioned for the fastest rebound?
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Naples is primed for the strongest recovery. Luxury buyers and a high cash-share buffer against rate volatility, and inventory has begun leveling.
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Marco Island follows closely—limited land and steady second-home demand make it resilient.
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Bonita Springs & Estero are re-pricing now (prices easing, days on market higher), which often sets up a clean rebound once financing/insurance improve.
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Sarasota/Manatee should see steady—not dramatic—growth, with balanced inventory and active sales.
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Fort Myers & Cape Coral will likely lag as abundant supply and insurance costs weigh on price discovery.
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Charlotte County faces the slowest path to recovery, with higher months of supply and heavy builder competition.
Our Ranking for 2025–26 Recovery Strength
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Naples
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Marco Island
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Bonita/Estero
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Sarasota/Manatee
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Fort Myers/Cape Coral
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Charlotte County
👉 What this means for buyers & sellers:
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Buyers: Naples/Marco may see appreciation resume first—timing is critical.
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Sellers: Cape Coral/Charlotte may require more patience or sharper pricing strategy.
I would love to hear where you think the markets will be going. Feel free to reach out and leave me a comment.
Thinking about buying or selling in Naples?
Protect your investment with a trusted local expert by your side.
📞 Call Brian J Giacomello at 239-281-5269
📧 Email: [email protected]
William Raveis Real Estate | 720 5th Ave S. #201 Naples FL 34102